Good morning, dear traders, and welcome to Guriforex.com. We are here with the GBPUSD technical analysis. Let’s dive into the analysis without further ado.
Today’s May 23, 2024, GBPUSD Technical analysis by Guriforex:
The GBPUSD pair remains resilient within the price channel. Recent UK CPI inflation data came in hotter than expected. This has significantly supported the pair. This inflation surprise has reduced expectations for a Bank of England interest rate cut in June. As a result, the pair’s lack of movement from yesterday’s session aligns with current market sentiment. It held steady above the 1.2720 mark on Thursday. Its subsequent consolidation above 1.2700 should not be seen as unexpected.
Fundamentally, the outlook for the GBP/USD pair remains positive. The persistent high inflation suggests a robust economic backdrop, reducing the likelihood of monetary easing in the near term. This has buoyed the GBP/USD pair, maintaining its strength despite broader market fluctuations. Traders should note that the 1.2700 level on the 2-hour time frame has become a significant swing zone, likely to undergo testing for strong accumulation. This accumulation phase is crucial as it typically precedes a more substantial move upwards.
Technically, the consolidation above 1.2700 is a critical indicator of market confidence. When a currency pair consolidates at a high level, it often signifies that the market is gathering momentum for the next leg of the move. In this case, the psychological resistance at 1.2800 is the next target. Breaking through this level would likely require sustained buying pressure and positive economic signals from the UK. This appears plausible given the current inflation scenario. Sustained high inflation suggests a robust economic backdrop. This reduces the likelihood of near-term monetary easing. Thus, traders can anticipate potential upward movements.
Moreover, the price action around the 1.2700 level provides an excellent opportunity for swing traders. The repeated tests of this level can offer entry points with relatively tight stop-losses, aiming for the 1.2800 target. The psychological significance of 1.2800 cannot be overstated; it often acts as a magnet for prices due to its rounded nature and historical importance.
In conclusion, the GBP/USD pair’s resilience amid strong UK inflation data and diminished rate cut expectations sets a positive tone. The consolidation above 1.2700 suggests strong market sentiment and potential for further gains, with 1.2800 being the next significant hurdle. Traders should watch for strong accumulation phases around 1.2700 as indicators of future upward movements.
