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NZDUSD Falls – Are the Bears Taking Over?

🐻 Kiwi traders, pay close attention!

NZDUSD is sending clear bearish signals on the 4-hour chart. After a period of consolidation within a descending channel, price has broken the lower trend line, marking a major technical development that traders should not ignore.

This break of structure is no mere blip. It’s part of a Market Structure Shift (MSS) that signals a transition from a ranging or mildly bearish environment to a more aggressive selling phase. Notice how the price closed firmly below the lower boundary of the channel — confirming that sellers have overpowered any support in that zone.

Adding to the bearish case, the 50-period Moving Average (MA50) is sloping downward, acting as dynamic resistance. Price recently attempted to retest the MA50 from below and failed, leaving upper wicks that show rejection. This is classic trend-following evidence that sellers are stepping in at every opportunity.

Traders who follow Smart Money Concepts or pure price action should note the significance of the failed retest. Markets love to test broken structures before continuing the move — and that’s exactly what has happened here.

📌 NZDUSD Trade Plan

⤵️ Sell #NZDUSD only if it falls below 0.6070

• This level is a key support. Breaking it will confirm the bearish continuation and flush out any late longs.
• We’re looking for strong momentum below this level to trigger entry.

🎯 Target 1: 0.6030

• This is the first take-profit level where price may pause or react.
• It lines up with a minor historical support and offers a solid 40-pip move from the break.

🎯 Target 2: 0.6010

• The second target is more aggressive.
• This zone aligns with a larger liquidity pool that sellers will aim to grab if downside momentum accelerates.

⚡️ NZDUSD Technical Summary

✅ Descending channel break
✅ Market Structure Shift (MSS) confirms trend change
✅ Bearish retest and rejection below MA50

This setup is a textbook breakout–retest–continuation move that trend traders love. But remember: discipline is key! Wait for a convincing break below 0.6070 before entering to avoid fakeouts.

💬 What’s your plan on NZDUSD? Are you shorting too?
❤️ Smash like if you’re ready to trade this setup!